Eurasia Group

Stay Informed with Ian Bremmer ⬇️

What we’re watching: ➡️ A nugget for Kyiv in the US plan for ending the war ➡️ This West African incumbent may struggle to win reelection ➡️ Two men from Queens walk into the Oval Office Get the details from GZERO Media: https://lnkd.in/eW_5HCzb

In 2024, the US gave more to Ukraine than all of Europe combined. That has changed since President Trump took office. A look at how Europe has tried to fill the void: #GraphicTruth via GZERO Media: https://lnkd.in/evbcj5SE

What we’re watching: ➡️ Details emerge of US-Russia plan for Ukraine ➡️ Military governments continue to struggle with militants in West Africa ➡️ Iran’s leader asks Saudi Arabia to help bring Washington back to the table Get the details from GZERO Media: https://lnkd.in/eNfwS6En

🗓️ Tuesday, December 9: Join Eurasia Group experts for a live webinar on “The Race for AI Dominance.” Register here: https://lnkd.in/e-HzawT9 The race for AI dominance isn’t about who builds faster. It’s about who leads smarter. From Washington to Beijing to Abu Dhabi, countries are rewriting the rules of innovation, security, and power. Moderated by Jon Lieber, speakers Justin Kosslyn, Xiaomeng Lu, and Nick Reiners will unpack how #AI is redrawing the globe, and what it means for markets, governments, and the future of influence. #Geopolitics #TechnologyPolicy

What we’re watching: ➡️ Is the US drafting secret peace plans with the Russians? ➡️ Markets on edge as world’s most valuable firm set to announce earnings ➡️ Syria prosecutes suspects in sectarian clashes Get the details from GZERO Media: https://lnkd.in/e9EpGZCH

Instead of all countries working on collective action, #COP30 is broken into smaller coalitions organized around specific action items like forestry and carbon markets. Our expert Shari Friedman discusses the move from multilateralism to minilateralism: #TheDebrief GZERO Media

What we’re watching: ➡️ UN Security council approves Trump plan for Gaza ➡️ Trump says he’ll sell F-35s to Saudi Arabia as crown prince arrives ➡️ Ukraine is on the hunt for more funds and peace talks Get the details from GZERO Media: https://lnkd.in/eQBU7cAZ

Ahead of #COP30, we co-hosted the “Resource Competition in a Fragmented World” panel, together with Alcoa, in São Paulo. The panel was moderated by Janaina Donas (Executive President, Associação Brasileira do Alumínio - ABAL), and speakers included Nicol Gagstetter  (EVP & Chief External Affairs Officer, Alcoa), Ramon Arratia (Chief Sustainability Officer & VP Global Public Affairs, Ball Corporation), Paula Schreiber Dubeux (Procurement Director, Unilever), and Ana Paula Lima Vieira Bittencourt (Secretary of Geology, Mining and Mineral Transformation, Ministério de Minas e Energia).   Key insights from the discussion included: ➡️ Technology progress: Breakthrough smelting technologies are advancing from pilot phases toward early real-world applications across the aluminum value chain. ➡️ Conditions for long-term deployment: As with any major industrial process, future scale-up will depend on reliable access to low-carbon electricity, supportive policy environments, and continued validation of operational performance. ➡️ Circularity as an advantage: Advanced recycling and more efficient sorting can strengthen domestic material resilience and reduce exposure to global #supplychain pressures. ➡️ The enabling role of government: Industrial policy, energy access, permitting, blended finance, and aligned taxonomies help create conditions that can support technology deployment and commercial viability over time. ➡️ Low-carbon industrial development: Brazil has an opportunity to further its position in responsible, low-carbon aluminum production, supported by alignment across energy, industrial, #circularity, and standards policies. 

Could President Trump have handled the Epstein issue any worse? Ian Bremmer breaks down what you need to know about Trump’s flip on releasing the files and fights with his allies: #AskIan GZERO Media