Why local input is key in climate adaptation

Across the Horn of Africa, climate shocks now unfold as compound crises. The 2020–2023 drought left over 46 million people food insecure and eroded their livelihoods. Before recovery could begin, the 2023–2024 El Niño rains triggered widespread flooding, displacing hundreds of thousands of people. Drought–flood whiplash is no longer exceptional; it is the region’s operating climate. My research with the Jameel Observatory for Food Security Early Action in northern Kenya reveals that pastoralist communities are already adapting to these shifts with remarkable flexibility. From star calendars to animal behaviour and vegetation cues, herders read a rich tapestry of indicators and now complement these with radio forecasts and satellite data. They do not wait for a single forecast or a rigid trigger. Instead, they adjust grazing routes, stagger herd movements, and pool resources as signals evolve. This flexible anticipatory action challenges the dominant model of fixed thresholds and single-event triggers. It shows that forecast information only has value if it is trusted, timely, and open to renegotiation on the ground. Climate Information Services (CIS) enable this agility by translating global climate models into local, impact-based advisories. Regional centres, such as ICPAC, provide seasonal outlooks to guide rangeland management and food security planning. Communities use this information to develop innovative solutions by layering these scientific forecasts onto their own adaptive calendars. Formal Anticipatory Action (AA) frameworks can learn from this. Kenya’s 2024–2029 AA Roadmap is vital. Fundamentally, it will deliver more if it incorporates flexibility by allowing rolling triggers, locally defined indicators, and iterative decision-making, rather than treating early action as a one-off release of funds. The cost of inaction rises with every season. Investing in flexible, forecast-driven anticipatory systems is both fiscally prudent and politically essential. For governments, regional bodies, and development partners, the way forward is clear: move beyond crisis response and embed adaptive, plural, and community-grounded anticipatory action at the heart of policy and planning. In the Horn of Africa’s climate future, acting early and being flexible is the most innovative and cost-effective form of adaptation. Photo courtesy of United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR)

Let's talk local #adaptation. More importantly, what happens when indigenous people get the resources they need to make their own decisions. This is what my village looked like exactly a year ago during the floods of 2022. With 4000+ people trapped on a canal bank, and emergency supplies being transported via rafts like the one pictured here. At some point when the aid organisations left (they left pretty soon), people when back to their homes which had become unlivable due to cracks, collapsed walls and ceilings, and many had become rubble. Aid organisations had built them in 2010 with one uniform design. There was no picking and choosing. So, there began our housing project. We had YouTube videos at our disposal (thank you to the Heritage Foundation for making the tutorials public) and the brilliant minds of local skilled labourers. We made our panels, learned through trial and error on how to assemble them, and built 250+ in 3 months! First, we asked homeowners if they liked the design and wanted it. It was a quick yes. These homes would be built quickly, there would be no risk of the home collapsing, and they could easily pick it up and put it somewhere else in case the landowners kicked them out. They were protected from rainfall and heat, and with some earth-filling, protected from the floods as well. Unlike 2010 and 2012, there weren't any outside teams doing needs and pre-needs assessments. Because we were a community support organization based in our own community, there wasn't any outside entity dictating allocation or asking for CNICs. We knew our land and climate, and knew that concrete blocks do not belong here because we saw them collapse and we saw them turn our homes into ovens in the summer. #climatechange #indigenousknowledge #localcommunities #adaptation #resilience #balochistan

It is often said that local communities do not understand how climate change or environmental realities affect them. But this notion is far from true. The real issue is the disconnect – inadequate investment in local human capital, disrupted livelihoods, and the lack of proper resilience approaches to support frontline and coastal communities to thrive, especially where government support is limited or non-existent. We become so fixated on our own definitions of what the adverse impacts of climate change or environmental degradation should look like at their level, and the solutions we invent, that we forget this: 🍃 Local, rural, and indigenous communities who live these realities daily have a major role to play in how we define and create solutions to achieve Goal 14 and other Sustainable Development Goals. Communities may not describe how climate change affects them in our scientific terms, but here’s what I have discovered over the past five years, mobilising communities for climate and policy action: 💡Communities often describe how climate and environmental changes affect them better than we assume. 💡They build resilience even where education or technological aids are limited or non-existent. 💡Backing local knowledge with technology protects traditional wisdom while creating innovative solutions that merge tradition and modern technology for climate and ocean challenges. 💡 Lastly, co-designing solutions with communities is key to sustaining and scaling impact. This ensures policies are deeply rooted to serve not just minorities, but the majority, particularly those in the informal sector with no social security, who depend on natural resources for their livelihoods. Whether you are an environmentalist or not, keep this in mind: 🍃 It is not enough for our solutions, policies, or innovations to serve minorities. True impact lies in ensuring they serve the majority, enabling people to live with dignity. And one way to achieve this is through: 💡Inclusion: ensuring communities have a seat at the table; and 💡 Integration: ensuring their wisdom, practices, and priorities shape the table itself. I hope this helps #abimbolaabikoye #communityresilience #frontlinevoices #sustainability #UNSDGs

As climate change intensifies, so too must our approach to the built environment. More frequent and extreme weather events, rising temperatures, and shifting ecosystems are all exposing the shortcomings of standardized, one-size-fits-all construction methods. It’s becoming clear: resilience in the face of climate change requires design that’s local, adaptive, and deeply rooted in place. While much of the Global North is only beginning to grapple with this reality, communities across the Global South have been innovating along these lines for centuries. From earthen homes in Mali that naturally regulate temperature, to raised stilt houses in Southeast Asia designed to weather floods, indigenous design traditions have long reflected a deep understanding of climate, culture, and context. What’s particularly striking is how these communities have not only learned to endure extreme conditions—but to recover quickly when disaster strikes. This kind of resilience isn’t just structural; it’s social and ecological, built into the very fabric of place-based design. As we design the future, the question is no longer “How do we build stronger?”—but rather, “How do we build smarter, more locally, and with greater respect for what’s already known? https://lnkd.in/g_4RJBGx #sustainabledesign #indiegnousknowledge #climatechange #climateadaptation

When we talk about #climateaction, the focus is often on infrastructure, technology, and policy. Yet the most resilient societies rely on something less visible but equally critical: strong #communities. In the #MiddleEast, social cohesion has long been a natural resilience system enabling faster recovery from shocks, safeguarding livelihoods, and keeping value within local economies. Examples from the region show the power of community in climate resilience: - Al-Ula, Saudi Arabia: Farmers have revived ancient irrigation systems, sharing water resources collectively. This heritage-based approach reduces drought vulnerability while strengthening cultural identity. - Farasan Islands, Saudi Arabia: Fishing communities regulate catch levels through local agreements that align with national marine protection, helping ecosystems adapt to rising sea temperatures. - Liwa, UAE: Date farming cooperatives pool resources for irrigation and storage, protecting livelihoods during extreme heat. These are examples showing that climate resilience is built as much through social infrastructure as physical infrastructure. In preparing for the future, investing in people’s connections, culture, and shared responsibility is as important as any technical solution. Strong communities are not just part of the solution, they are the foundation of it. #resilience #sustainability #adaptation #socialsustainability #CenterforSustainableFuture Elie El Khoury Mario Sanchez Ibrahim Saleh Farah Assaad Valentin Lavaill Kearney Kearney Middle East and Africa

Lessons from Hawai‘i: Climate Adaptation in Action At a time when federal funding for climate programs is being cut, the work of climate adaptation has never been more urgent—or more challenging. Yet, across Hawai‘i, researchers and community leaders continue to drive forward solutions that are place-based, equity-centered, and grounded in both science and Indigenous knowledge. My recent visit, along with Lauren Bataska, reinforced a critical truth: climate adaptation is not a distant challenge—it is happening now, in real time, in communities on the front lines of environmental change. At Pacific RISA, we worked with Laura Brewington, Victoria Keener and their amazing team, who are advancing climate resilience across Pacific Islands. Their work bridges science, policy, and community-driven solutions to address rising sea levels, shifting freshwater availability, and other climate-related challenges. Through interdisciplinary collaboration and deep engagement with local stakeholders, Pacific RISA is demonstrating what effective adaptation looks like in practice. Our visit to ʻIole with Todd Apo further emphasized the importance of place-based solutions. ʻIole is pioneering efforts to integrate Indigenous knowledge, ecological restoration, and sustainable land management, offering a model for how cultural and environmental stewardship can inform climate adaptation. Their work serves as a powerful reminder that resilience isn’t just about infrastructure—it’s about revitalizing relationships between people and place. Perhaps most impactful was the opportunity to meet with Naka Nathaniel and local community leaders working to address water challenges on Native Hawaiian homelands. Water security is a deeply complex issue, tied not just to climate change but also to historical land and water rights. These discussions highlighted the critical need for equitable water governance that prioritizes community-driven solutions, Indigenous leadership, and long-term resilience planning. Thanks to Amanda Ellis and Jody Kaulukukui for their hospitality and guidance on how ASU Julie Ann Wrigley Global Futures Laboratory can meaningfully collaborate with and support our partners in Hawai‘i. These experiences underscored a pressing question: How do we scale these solutions while ensuring that communities remain at the center of decision-making, even as critical funding sources disappear? As professionals committed to sustainability, we must push for stronger collaborations between academia, policymakers, and industry. We need to accelerate knowledge-sharing and investment in adaptation strategies that are both effective and equitable. If you're working in climate adaptation, what strategies have you found most effective? How can we build stronger bridges between research and action in the absence of federal leadership? Let’s keep this conversation going. #ClimateAdaptation #WaterResilience #Sustainability #IndigenousKnowledge #Collaboration #Hawai‘i

Bookmark this compilation of powerful findings from 19 locally-led initiatives from around the world on what local adaptation to climate change means and entails. As local communities deal with the negative impacts of climate change, holistic approaches and solutions must not only recognize the vulnerabilities but also tap into the capabilities of specific community sub-groups. This means confronting the discrimination faced by older and young people, women, ethnic minorities, Indigenous groups, people living with disabilities, and other marginalized groups to ensure that their voices and contributions mold and drive local adaptation efforts. https://lnkd.in/ezFNx6SS Climate and Development Knowledge Network Global Center on Adaptation Mairi Dupar

Global climate finance is failing the people who need it most because it’s built for top-down pledges and compliance, not for getting resources into the hands of vulnerable communities. Today, less than 1% of funds reach grassroots adaptation, while 1.3 billion people remain excluded from basic financial services—leaving them unable to absorb climate shocks. In this Forbes article by Felicia Jackson, Tom Mitchell, Executive director of the International Institute for Environment and Development (IIED) and myself at CGAP argue that, to turn commitments into real resilience, we must redesign climate finance to prioritize locally led approaches, radically simplify and speed up access to funds, and align risk perception with market realities. We call for donors, MDBs, and governments to widen local access to climate finance through simplified approvals at major climate funds, channeling more financing through local intermediaries, and setting explicit targets for adaptation and direct community access—so climate money finally reaches the frontlines where it has the greatest impact. Read more at: https://lnkd.in/d8sfiSU4 #climatefinance #inclusivefinance #financialinclusion #locallyledadaptation