What’s driving the rebound in net lease transaction activity?
John T Chang breaks down the key forces shaping today’s market, from new tax rules that are restoring important incentives for equipment-intensive net lease assets to the ongoing cap rate compression among top-credit tenants with longer lease terms. He also highlights how private investors continue to dominate STNL investment as confidence builds heading into 2025.
Tap into the latest insights shaping the net lease landscape: https://lnkd.in/dmGVSiPG#cre#commercialrealestate#netlease
(upbeat music) - Hey, everyone. We have a new report coming out on this, but I figured I'd give
you all a sneak peek into some new proprietary insights on single-tenant net
lease cap rate trends. Now, single-tenant net lease properties are particularly popular with investors who want to capitalize
on some unique advantages of commercial real estate investment, but who don't want to take on the management responsibilities often associated with
real estate investments. In a triple net lease, the tenant generally
pays the property taxes, the building insurance, and takes care of the
property maintenance. And the owner generally covers
cost related to the structure like the roof and long-term
components like the HVAC system. In recent years, single-tenant
net lease properties, like car washes, convenience stores, quick-service restaurants, and auto service centers have
become increasingly popular with investors. A key reason has been their
high proportion of equipment and site improvements that qualify for 100% bonus depreciation. In 2023 and 2024, when bonus depreciation was
stepping down to 80%, then 60%, some of these benefits were diminished, but the recently passed tax rules make 100% bonus depreciation permanent. So, these types of properties
are being favored once again. Because of their minimal
management requirements, single-tenant net lease properties are frequently purchased by
investors who wanna reposition out of more
management-intensive properties, like apartments or single-family rentals. These investors frequently
leverage 1031 exchanges in these transactions, so they can roll their adjusted basis into the replacement property
and defer taxes on any gains and on the depreciation
they've already taken on the property they sold. And with a single-tenant
net lease property, owners have less operating and maintenance
responsibilities and expenses. The owner then collects
the monthly lease payment from their one and only tenant at the new single-tenant
net lease property. Because there's just one tenant, their creditworthiness becomes
particularly important, and the cap rates on single-tenant net lease
properties often vary, depending on the credit of the tenant. In the past year, the tenant's credit rating has
become even more important. The cap rates on high-tier credit tenants have trended lower to the mid 5% range, while the cap rates on
mid-tier credit tenants has risen modestly to the high 6% range, and the cap rate on lower
tier credit-rated tenants have been trading in the 7% range. Another factor driving cap rates is the term remaining on the lease. On average, properties with
less than five years remaining have been trading with cap
rates in the 7.7% range. Properties with five to
15 years of lease term have averaged 6.8%, and properties with lease
terms of 15 or more years have averaged 6.1% cap rates. There are a lot of other factors, such as the property location,
how old the property is, whether the asset has
periodic lease bumps, whether the operator has
additional lease options to extend and so on. So the values of
single-tenant net lease assets can vary dramatically, but over the last 12 months, many investors have
focused on these assets and transaction velocity has
climbed 18% compared to 2024 and 43% above the 2014 to 2019 average. The last 12 months ending
with the third quarter generated the third highest
annual transaction activity on record behind 2021 and 2022 when commercial real estate
sales activity surged. While some institutions and
REITs are active in the space, their activity has
diminished in recent years. Single-tenant net lease acquisitions have historically been
dominated by private investors who drove 64% of the purchase
activity in the last year. And many of these investors
have leveraged 1031 exchanges to exit more management-intensive
commercial real estate as part of their retirement
and estate planning processes. Now, you should check
with your tax advisor regarding the use of 1031 exchanges, but migrating a portfolio for more management-intensive properties into easier-to-operate
single-tenant net lease assets while deferring capital gains and the recapture of depreciation can be a great way to scale
down the management needs of a real estate portfolio. This is just one more
commercial real estate strategy for investors who keep
their eyes on the horizon. (upbeat music)