AISI report on limitations of current AI systems and potential future advancements

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Several AI developers aim to build systems that match or surpass humans across most cognitive tasks. Today’s AI still falls short. Among AISI’s priorities is to forecast the development of AI much more powerful than today’s. Such systems could be extremely beneficial – but may also pose national security risks or cause labour market disruption. In a new report, we draw on expert interviews to identify four categories of limitation that still constrain today’s AI systems: 1️⃣ Task-specific limitations: Performance on long tasks, in complex environments, and on tasks that are hard to verify 2️⃣ Reliability: Reducing error rates and improving meta-awareness 3️⃣ Adaptability: Working with local context and continual learning 4️⃣ Original insight: Novel contributions of scientific value For each category we ask: where do existing systems still struggle? What would we expect to see if these obstacles were overcome? In so doing, we hope to provide tools for the AI safety and national security communities to monitor and forecast AI capabilities. The trajectory of AI development is highly uncertain, and unforeseen bottlenecks could emerge. AISI will continue to gather evidence on this trajectory as capabilities advance. Learn more in our blog: https://lnkd.in/e5uJ2g2r Read the full report: https://lnkd.in/eKrwVUwr

Henry Ward

Software Engineer | .NET C#, PHP, Python | Helping organisations improve service and lower costs

3w

May be if interest to 80,000 Hours

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